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The worst you can expect on the summits. Over 3 days from
"Forecasts are issued in the afternoon before 6pm every day and cover the evening period, the full 24 hours from midnight to midnight for the next two days then a brief outlook for the following 3 days. They are updated in the early hours of each morning before 6am."
Take me there"Today and tomorrow. 3-5 day forecast. Long range forecast"
Take me thereLooking forward to the hills? Here is an easy way to check expected conditions and find up-to-date forecasts from the major sources. The grid shows the worst summit conditions over the next few days (from ).
The hazard grid is compiled from the detailed text forecasts published by the MWIS. The individual grid colours ('hazard levels') are calculated from their wind and temperature forecasts, and explained below. Temperature is typically the peak wind chill (or the overnight low). Wind speed is for gusts. Tapping any region will take you straight to the original report from the MWIS.
Weather data and forecasts displayed here are replicated from MWIS for convenience. We do not guarantee the accuracy, timeliness, or safety of the information provided. Mountain weather conditions change rapidly and can be life-threatening. Do not rely solely on this webpage for trip planning or navigation; always check the official MWIS website directly before heading onto the hills.
A mountain weather hazard level,
from 1 (Low) to 5 (Extreme), is calculated based on:
- peak wind speed (mph)
- lowest temperature (C).
# Fail-safe: if data is missing.
If peak_wind is None or min_temp is None:
the answer is 0 (an error code or level 0)
# LEVEL 5 : EXTREME DANGER
Blown over / Instant Frostbite Risk
if peak_wind >= 55 or min_temp <= -15:
the answer is 5
# LEVEL 4 : ARDUOUS & SEVERE
Strenuous walking / Severe Wind Chill
if peak_wind >= 40 or min_temp <= -5:
# if BOTH are borderline, bump it up to a 5
if peak_wind >= 35 AND min_temp <= -2:
the answer is 5
the answer is 4
# LEVEL 3 : CHALLENGING / PROGRESS IMPEDED
Buffeting on ridges / Freezing conditions
if peak_wind >= 25 or min_temp <= 0:
the answer is 3
# LEVEL 2 : MODERATE
Noticeable breeze / Cool air
if peak_wind >= 15 or min_temp <= 5:
the answer is 2
# LEVEL 1 : LOW RISK
Comfortable walking conditions
if none of the above:
the answer is 1
This is only intended to offer a feel for the conditions with a quick glance (are you still at work?). Check with MWIS or
MetOffice
before making a commitment.
The Human Body Only Cares About Wind Chill.
The custom hazard level, in the grid above, relies heavily on wind chill temperatures rather than just the actual air temperature.
Static air temperature only tells you how cold it is for inert objects. For a human being, moving air strips away the microscopic layer of warm air trapped next to our skin. A summit that is 2C on paper will feel like -10C to our body in a 40 mph gale. The wind chill value reflects the speed at which we lose body heat - hypothermia thresholds are tied to wind chill.
Also keep in mind, valley or sea-level wind speeds usually double or triple on a mountain summit. Additionally, geographical features like narrow ridges, saddles (cols), and deep valleys act as natural funnels, accelerating a manageable 25 mph wind into a dangerous 50+ mph gale. So, we use specialist forcasters like
MWIS or
MetOffice.
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